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National Economic Performance is Good
in the First Half of 2004
(July 16,
2004)
National Bureau of Statistics, the People's Republic of China
Spokesman
Zheng Jingping
In the first half of this year, the macro-regulatory measures adopted by Chinese
government achieved significant results. National economy kept stable and fast
growth with further improved economic efficiency, rapid growth in foreign trade
and notable rise in the residents' income. The uncertainties and unhealthy factors
existing in economic performance have been put initially under control. The
overall economy is moving toward the expected direction of macro regulation.
1. National economy kept fast growth. According to preliminary estimation, in
the first half of this year, the gross domestic product reached 5,877.3 billion
yuan, up 9.7% over the same period last year at comparable prices, or 0.9 percentage
points higher. Of this total, the value-added of the primary industry was 617.7billion
yuan, up 4.9%; that of the secondary industry was 3,382.2 billion yuan, up 11.5%;
that of the tertiary industry was 1,877.4 billion yuan, up 8.0%. The GDP growth
was 9.8% in the first quarter and 9.6% in the second quarter of this year with
no significant fluctuations.
2. Agricultural production showed encouraging trend. After consecutive 5 year
of declining, the planting areas for grain crops were expected to surpass 100
million hectares, up by 1% over the previous year. The planting areas for cotton
were up by 10.6%, and that of oil-bearing crops, up by 0.7%. The planting areas
for sugar would be decreased by 5.4%. Good harvest was seen in summer grain,
and the total output was expected to reach 101.05 million tons, up 4.8%.
3. Industrial production kept steady and rapid growth. In the first half of
this year, the value added of industrial enterprises was 2,982.2 billion yuan,
up by 11.9% over the same period last year. Of this total, the value added of
industrial enterprises above the designated size was 2,468.2 billion yuan, up
17.7%, or 1.5 percentage points higher. In terms of heavy and light industries,
the growth of the heavy industry was 19.7%, and that of the light industry was
15.6%. In terms of different products, the growth of steel and rolled steel
was up 21.1% and 23.2% respectively, or 5.3 and 6.3 percentage points lower
as compared with that in the first quarter of this year. Rapid growth was seen
in energy production, the growth of coal and electricity generation was up 14.9%
and 15.8% respectively. In the first half of this year, the sales ratio of industrial
products reached 97.2%, up 0.2 percentage points over the same period last year.
4. The growth rate of investment in fixed assets slowed down gradually. In the
first half of this year, the total investment in fixed assets was 2,608.2 billion
yuan, up 28.6% over the same period last year, it was 2.5 percentage points
lower over the same period last year, or 14.4 percentage points lower as compared
with that in the first quarter of this year. Of the total investment, the urban
investment in fixed assets was 2,184.4 billion yuan, up 31.0%, or down by 16.8
percentage points as compared with that in the first quarter. The complete investment
in real estate sector was 492.4 billion yuan, up by 28.7%, or down by 12.4 percentage
points as compared with that in the first quarter of this year.
5. Sales on domestic market were stable with a brisk trend. In the first half
of this year, the total retail sales of consumer goods amounted to 2,524.9 billion
yuan, up 12.8% over the same period last year, and the real growth was 10.2%
after deducting price factors. Momentum of fast growth was kept in the sales
of some key consumer products. The retail sales of telecommunication equipment
by wholesale and retail outlets above designated size went up by 52.3% over
the same period last year, the sales of petroleum and petroleum products was
up 44.3%, of motor vehicles, up 43.7%, of household electric appliances and
audio and video equipment, up 18.1%, of articles for sports and entertainment,
up 21.5%, and of furniture, 20.6%.
6. The rise of market prices was manageable with its trend weakened to some
extent. In the first half of this year, the CPI was up 3.6% over the same period
last year. Of the total, the CPI in cities was up by 3%, that in rural areas,
4.6%. In terms of month on month changes, it was down by 0.1% in May, and was
further down by 0.7% in June. In terms of different categories, in the first
half of this year, price for food was up by 9.5%, price for medical care and
articles for personal use increased by 0.3%, that for recreational, educational
articles and services went up by 0.9%. Price for housing was up by 3.7%. However,
prices for clothing, household apparatus and services, means of communication
and transportation were down by 1.4%, 1.6% and 1.7% respectively. In the first
half of this year, the RPI was up 2.4%. The ex-factory price for industrial
products was upby 4.7%, and the purchasing prices for raw materials, fuels and
power went up by 9.8%.
7. Imports and exports kept fast growth, utilization of foreign capitals continued
to increase. In the first half of this year, the total volume of imports and
exports was 523.0 billion US dollars, up 39.1% over the same period last year.
The total exports was 258.1 billion US dollars, up 35.7%, and the total imports
was 264.9 billion US dollars, up 42.6%, with a trade deficit of 6.8 billion
US dollars. In the first half of this year, the contracted volume of foreign
direct investment reached 72.7 billion US dollars, an increase of 42.7% over
the same period last year; the actually utilized foreign investment was 33.9
billion US dollars, up 12.0%. By the end of June, foreign exchange reserves
of China reached 470.6 billion US dollars, an increase of 67.3 billion US dollars
as compared with that at the beginning of this year.
8. The growth of income of urban and rural residents accelerated. In the first
half of this year, the per capita disposable income of urban residents was 4,815
yuan, up 11.9%, the real growth was 8.7% after deducting price factors, 0.3
percentage points higher over the same period last year. The per capita cash
income of rural residents was 1,345 yuan, up 16.1%, or a real growth of 10.9%,
or 8.4 percentage points higher over the same period last year, representing
the highest increase since 1997.
All these illustrate that the overall performance of national economy is good,
which paved the way for sustained, stable and rapid economic growth in the following
period. However, we should be aware at the same time that those prominent problems
exiting in national economy have not been rooted out fundamentally. The bottleneck
of energy and transportation is still prominent, the growth rate of investment
in fixed assets in certain sectors is still high, the growth rate of purchasing
prices for raw materials, fuels and power and prices for investment are fairly
high and the structure of loans is not rational. In the second half of 2004,
efforts should continue in further implementing and improving various policies
for macroeconomic regulation. While further consolidating the achievements and
guarding against the reversal, focus should be put on adjusting structure, deepening
reforms and changing the pattern of economic growth to ensure the stable, fast
and coordinated economic development.
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